BinaryStreaks

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Updated 2d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Crypto · market-implied 42.5%

PolymarketVolume ~240,845.061← All markets

Recent price

42.5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hibachi officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hibachi (https://x.com/hibachi_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Active signals

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low

Edge

0.0 pts

Market-implied

42.5%

Model estimate

-

YES

42.5%

NO

57.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -6.5 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 42.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 42.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -6.5 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →More in Crypto →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
39¢
Best ask (buy)
45¢
Spread
6¢
Midpoint
42¢
Depth (top level)
bid 5 · ask 10

NO

Best bid (sell)
55¢
Best ask (buy)
61¢
Spread
6¢
Midpoint
58¢
Depth (top level)
bid 10 · ask 5