Sports · market-implied 31.5%
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 5, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
-1.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
31.5%
Model estimate
70.0%
YES
31.5%
NO
68.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +17.5 pts · Δ24h +17.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
31.5%
NO
68.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.140 vs 0.510 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 31.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 30.0%, indicating a possible -1.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +17.5 pts · Δ24h +17.5 pts (same direction)
YES
NO