Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
World · market-implied 3.8%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+0.6 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
3.8%
Model estimate
4.5%
YES
3.8%
NO
96.2%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.0 pts · Δ24h +3.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
3.8%
NO
96.2%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.007 vs 0.010 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 3.8%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 4.5%, indicating a possible +0.6 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +3.0 pts · Δ24h +3.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related markets
Execution
YES
NO