Crypto · market-implied 15.0%
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Monero (XMRUSDT) between Jan 5, 2026, 17:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XMRUSDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/xmrusdt with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance XMRUSDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+1.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
15.0%
Model estimate
16.5%
YES
15.0%
NO
85.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-lowYES
15.0%
NO
85.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.035 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 15.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 16.5%, indicating a possible +1.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO