Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Crypto · market-implied 32.8%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence LowYES
32.8%
NO
67.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.226 vs 0.061 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-0.1 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
32.8%
Model estimate
67.3%
YES
32.8%
NO
67.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +5.3 pts · Δ24h +5.1 pts (same direction)
Market summary
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.226 vs 0.061 · wide
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO