Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Market-implied 0.9%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services. Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Market summary
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What this means
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Execution
YES
NO
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