Crypto · market-implied 99.3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Trend Continuation
Confidence MidEdge
-2.1 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
99.3%
Model estimate
2.8%
YES
99.3%
NO
0.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +25.7 pts · Δ24h +25.7 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
99.3%
NO
0.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.001 vs 0.006 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 99.3%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 97.2%, indicating a possible -2.1 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +25.7 pts · Δ24h +25.7 pts (same direction)
YES
NO