Crypto · market-implied 25.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
25.5%
NO
74.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.150 vs 0.030 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+3.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
25.5%
Model estimate
28.5%
YES
25.5%
NO
74.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.5 pts · Δ24h -4.5 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.150 vs 0.030 · wide
YES
NO