Politics · market-implied 9.5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any message or note written by Jeffrey Epstein, intended as a suicide note, is made publicly available by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying note must be credibly reported to have been written by Jeffrey Epstein and have been intended to be a suicide note, final message, or equivalent communication. A qualifying message or note may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
9.5%
NO
90.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.010 · thin top-book
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
9.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
9.5%
NO
90.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -4.5 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.010 · thin top-book
YES
NO