Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Economy · market-implied 9.2%
Recent price
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Active signals
No active signals for this market.
Market summary
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related markets
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
Execution
YES
No live book
NO
No live book