Market-implied 76.5%
In the upcoming CBB game, scheduled for March 28 at 6:09 PM ET: If the Illinois Fighting Illini win, the market will resolve to "Illinois Fighting Illini". If the Iowa Hawkeyes win, the market will resolve to "Iowa Hawkeyes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Market Overreaction
Confidence HighEdge
-1.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
76.5%
Model estimate
25.0%
YES
76.5%
NO
23.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +3.0 pts · 6.0× typical volatility
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
76.5%
NO
23.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 76.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 75.0%, indicating a possible -1.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move +3.0 pts · 6.0× typical volatility
No related markets found.
YES
NO
No live book