Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Crypto · market-implied 10.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total crypto liquidations event exceeds the highest liquidation amount ever recorded ($19.16B) at any point in 2026, as tracked by CoinGlass. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData), specifically the “Top 10 Crypto Liquidation Events of All Time.” If CoinGlass data becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+0.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
10.5%
Model estimate
11.0%
YES
10.5%
NO
89.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
10.5%
NO
89.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.040 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 10.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 11.0%, indicating a possible +0.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.0 pts · Δ24h -3.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO