Business · market-implied 98.9%
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence HighEdge
-0.9 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
98.9%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
98.9%
NO
1.1%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +73.4 pts · Δ24h +73.4 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
98.9%
NO
1.1%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 98.9%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -0.9 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +73.4 pts · Δ24h +73.4 pts (same direction)
YES
NO