BinaryStreaks

LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Updated 10d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 80.5%

Above estimatePolymarketVolume ~42,168.084← All markets

Recent price

80.5%

This market refers to the LoL match between RED Canids and paiN Gaming in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 6 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against paiN Gaming. This market will resolve to "paiN Gaming" if paiN Gaming win the match against RED Canids. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Active signals

LoL: RED Canids vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
Polymarket
Above estimate

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-11.5 pts

Strong edge

Market-implied

80.5%

Model estimate

31.0%

YES

80.5%

NO

19.5%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -8.0 pts · Δ24h -8.0 pts (same direction)

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 80.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 69.0%, indicating a possible -11.5 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -8.0 pts · Δ24h -8.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
  • Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
80¢
Best ask (buy)
81¢
Spread
1¢
Midpoint
81¢
Depth (top level)
bid 7,163.79 · ask 2,380.84

NO

Best bid (sell)
19¢
Best ask (buy)
20¢
Spread
1¢
Midpoint
20¢
Depth (top level)
bid 2,380.84 · ask 7,163.79