Weather · market-implied 11.5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any vaccine intended for humans and inoculating against Hantavirus (including Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS) or Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS)) receives full approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the FDA, including its list of approved vaccines (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/vaccines/vaccines-licensed-use-united-states), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is currently priced at 11.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 12.5%, indicating a possible +1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.0 pts · Δ24h +4.0 pts (same direction)
YES
NO