Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Crypto · market-implied 32.0%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereum (ETH) is not the second or first largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization at any point between January 1, and December 31, 2026 ET, according to CoinGecko. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be CoinGecko. If CoinGecko becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be chosen. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+7.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
32.0%
Model estimate
39.5%
YES
32.0%
NO
68.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
32.0%
NO
68.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 vs 0.035 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 32.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 39.5%, indicating a possible +7.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Execution
YES
NO