Tech · market-implied 15.2%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
15.2%
NO
84.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.354 vs 0.067 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-4.4 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
15.2%
Model estimate
89.2%
YES
15.2%
NO
84.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.7 pts · Δ24h -3.7 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.354 vs 0.067 · wide
YES
NO