Business · market-implied 68.0%
This market will resolve based on Liftoff Mobile’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Trend Continuation
Confidence MidEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
68.0%
Model estimate
-
YES
68.0%
NO
32.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -31.8 pts · Δ24h -31.8 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence LowYES
68.0%
NO
32.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.634 vs 0.006 · wide
This market is currently priced at 68.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 68.0%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -31.8 pts · Δ24h -31.8 pts (same direction)
YES
NO
No live book