Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Soccer · market-implied 84.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+1.5 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
84.5%
Model estimate
86.0%
YES
84.5%
NO
15.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
84.5%
NO
15.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.040 vs 0.030 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 84.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 86.0%, indicating a possible +1.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related links
Execution
YES
NO