Business · market-implied 11.5%
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.130 vs 0.020 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-2.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
11.5%
Model estimate
90.5%
YES
11.5%
NO
88.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -5.0 pts · Δ24h -5.0 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.130 vs 0.020 · wide
YES
NO