BinaryStreaks

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka

Updated 7d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 21.6%

PolymarketVolume ~69,470.141← All markets

Recent price

21.6%

This market refers to the cricket match between Afghanistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for March 13 2026 in T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Active signals

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low
Opportunity: YES sideModel leaning YES

Edge

+2.4 pts

Moderate edge

Market-implied

21.6%

Model estimate

24.0%

YES

21.6%

NO

78.4%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +10.7 pts · Δ24h +10.7 pts (same direction)

T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Low

YES

21.6%

NO

78.4%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.420 vs 0.386 · thin top-book

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 21.6%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 24.0%, indicating a possible +2.4 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +10.7 pts · Δ24h +10.7 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Sports →

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Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
0¢
Best ask (buy)
43¢
Spread
43¢
Midpoint
22¢
Depth (top level)
bid 500 · ask 200

NO

Best bid (sell)
57¢
Best ask (buy)
100¢
Spread
43¢
Midpoint
78¢
Depth (top level)
bid 200 · ask 500