DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Tech · market-implied 0.3%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public. The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Active signals
No active signals for this market.
Market summary
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related markets
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Execution
YES
NO
No live book