Crypto · market-implied 7.1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
7.1%
NO
92.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.015 vs 0.010 · thin top-book
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+1.4 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
7.1%
Model estimate
8.6%
YES
7.1%
NO
92.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +4.8 pts · Δ24h +4.8 pts (same direction)
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.015 vs 0.010 · thin top-book
YES
NO