Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
World · market-implied 76.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+3.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
76.5%
Model estimate
79.5%
YES
76.5%
NO
23.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
76.5%
NO
23.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.030 vs 0.025 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 76.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 79.5%, indicating a possible +3.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related markets
Execution
YES
NO