BinaryStreaks

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A

Updated just now

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 0.1%

PolymarketVolume ~573,838.388← All markets

Recent price

0.1%

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Astralis and G2 in the BLAST Rivals Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against G2. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Active signals

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid-high
Opportunity: YES sideModel leaning YES

Edge

+1.9 pts

Early edge

Market-implied

0.1%

Model estimate

2.0%

YES

0.1%

NO

100.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -46.5 pts · Δ24h -46.5 pts (same direction)

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Mid

YES

0.1%

NO

100.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 0.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 2.0%, indicating a possible +1.9 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -46.5 pts · Δ24h -46.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

No live book

NO

No live book