Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?
Crypto · market-implied 0.1%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Active signals
Market Overreaction
Confidence Mid-highEdge
+10.3 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
0.1%
Model estimate
10.3%
YES
0.1%
NO
100.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -12.4 pts · 4.0× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
+4.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
0.1%
Model estimate
4.1%
YES
0.1%
NO
100.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -12.4 pts · Δ24h -12.4 pts (same direction)
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 0.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 10.3%, indicating a possible +10.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move -12.4 pts · 4.0× typical volatility
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Execution
YES
No live book
NO
No live book