Sports · market-implied 29.3%
This market will resolve to “76ers” if the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics. This market will resolve to “Celtics” if the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Playoffs First Round series between the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
-2.2 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
29.3%
Model estimate
72.8%
YES
29.3%
NO
70.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +18.3 pts · Δ24h +18.3 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
29.3%
NO
70.7%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.023 vs 0.009 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 29.3%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 27.2%, indicating a possible -2.2 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +18.3 pts · Δ24h +18.3 pts (same direction)
YES
NO