Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
Crypto · market-implied 30.0%
Recent price
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Active signals
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
30.0%
NO
70.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.420 vs 0.080 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
+2.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
30.0%
Model estimate
32.0%
YES
30.0%
NO
70.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -8.5 pts · Δ24h -12.0 pts (same direction)
Market summary
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.420 vs 0.080 · wide
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related links
Execution
YES
NO