No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
World · market-implied 2.3%
Recent price
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's April 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its April 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for April 27-28, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+14.3 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
2.3%
Model estimate
16.5%
YES
2.3%
NO
97.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -8.5 pts · Δ24h -8.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
2.3%
NO
97.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.002 vs 0.008 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 2.3%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 16.5%, indicating a possible +14.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -8.5 pts · Δ24h -8.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Related links
Related markets
Execution
YES
NO