Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Crypto · market-implied 45.0%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Theo's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Theo (https://x.com/Theo_Network) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Active signals
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
+9.7 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
45.0%
Model estimate
54.8%
YES
45.0%
NO
55.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -6.5 pts · 3.2× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+6.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
45.0%
Model estimate
51.5%
YES
45.0%
NO
55.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -6.5 pts · Δ24h -6.5 pts (same direction)
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 45.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 54.8%, indicating a possible +9.7 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move -6.5 pts · 3.2× typical volatility
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Execution
YES
NO