2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Soccer · market-implied 75.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion goes unbeaten in every match during the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “unbeaten” is defined as having not recorded a loss during any match in any stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmed unbeaten champion within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+3.0 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
75.5%
Model estimate
78.5%
YES
75.5%
NO
24.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
75.5%
NO
24.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.050 vs 0.055 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 75.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 78.5%, indicating a possible +3.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -4.0 pts · Δ24h -4.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related links
Execution
YES
NO