Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner

Updated 4d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 7.5%

PolymarketVolume ~126,075.842← All markets

Recent price

7.5%

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between Liquid and Astralis in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against Astralis. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win Map 2 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 7.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 7.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -26.5 pts · Δ24h -24.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
39¢
Best ask (buy)
40¢
Spread
Midpoint
40¢
Depth (top level)
bid 25 · ask 55

NO

Best bid (sell)
60¢
Best ask (buy)
61¢
Spread
Midpoint
61¢
Depth (top level)
bid 55 · ask 68