BinaryStreaks

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?

Updated 8d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 52.6%

PolymarketVolume ~53,521.441← All markets

Recent price

52.6%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 RBC Heritage tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the RBC Heritage tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the RBC Heritage tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by April 26, 2026 at 2:00AM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Active signals

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Low

Edge

0.0 pts

Market-implied

52.6%

Model estimate

-

YES

52.6%

NO

47.4%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +10.3 pts · Δ24h +10.3 pts (same direction)

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Mid

YES

52.6%

NO

47.4%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.003 vs 0.010 · thin top-book

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 52.6%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 52.6%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +10.3 pts · Δ24h +10.3 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

Best bid (sell)
54¢
Best ask (buy)
54¢
Spread
0¢
Midpoint
54¢
Depth (top level)
bid 118 · ask 26

NO

Best bid (sell)
46¢
Best ask (buy)
46¢
Spread
0¢
Midpoint
46¢
Depth (top level)
bid 26 · ask 118