Soccer · market-implied 98.9%
This market will resolve to the player who records the most red cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. For the purpose of this market, both direct red cards, or red cards that result from the accumulation of two yellow cards in the same match will be considered in the final count. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-highEdge
-0.9 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
98.9%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
98.9%
NO
1.1%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +52.8 pts · Δ24h +52.8 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
98.9%
NO
1.1%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.617 · wide
This market is currently priced at 98.9%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -0.9 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +52.8 pts · Δ24h +52.8 pts (same direction)
YES
NO