Sports · market-implied 100.0%
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Vitality and FUT Esports in the BLAST Rivals Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
-14.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
100.0%
Model estimate
14.5%
YES
100.0%
NO
0.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +2.0 pts · 3.1× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-2.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
100.0%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
100.0%
NO
0.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +8.5 pts · Δ24h +8.5 pts (same direction)
This market is currently priced at 100.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 85.5%, indicating a possible -14.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move +2.0 pts · 3.1× typical volatility
YES
No live book
NO
No live book