Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Soccer · market-implied 5.1%
Recent price
This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
-3.1 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
5.1%
Model estimate
98.0%
YES
5.1%
NO
94.9%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -17.9 pts · Δ24h -17.9 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-lowYES
5.1%
NO
94.9%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.048 vs 0.730 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 5.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 2.0%, indicating a possible -3.1 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -17.9 pts · Δ24h -17.9 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO