Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?
Economy · market-implied 1.1%
Recent price
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for April 2026 is scheduled to be released on April 30, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's April 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+19.1 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
1.1%
Model estimate
20.1%
YES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +7.7 pts · Δ24h +7.7 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
1.1%
NO
99.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.005 vs 0.004 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 1.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 20.1%, indicating a possible +19.1 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +7.7 pts · Δ24h +7.7 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
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- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
Execution
YES
NO