MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Crypto · market-implied 98.9%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by MegaETH will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-0.9 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
98.9%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
98.9%
NO
1.1%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +8.9 pts · Δ24h +8.9 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
98.9%
NO
1.1%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.100 vs 0.035 · wide · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 98.9%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -0.9 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +8.9 pts · Δ24h +8.9 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO