Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Crypto · market-implied 12.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
+2.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
12.5%
Model estimate
14.5%
YES
12.5%
NO
87.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -13.0 pts · Δ24h -13.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
12.5%
NO
87.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.020 vs 0.030 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 12.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 14.5%, indicating a possible +2.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -13.0 pts · Δ24h -13.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO