BinaryStreaks

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)

Updated 4d ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 100.0%

PolymarketVolume ~142,484.05← All markets

Recent price

100.0%

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between NRG and FUT Esports in the IEM Atlanta Group A, initially scheduled for May 11 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports wins 2 or more maps than NRG in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NRG". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Active signals

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid
Opportunity: NO sideModel leaning NO

Edge

-2.0 pts

Early edge

Market-implied

100.0%

Model estimate

2.0%

YES

100.0%

NO

0.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +47.5 pts · Δ24h +45.0 pts (same direction)

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Mid

YES

100.0%

NO

0.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.060 vs 0.070 · thin top-book

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 100.0%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -2.0 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h +47.5 pts · Δ24h +45.0 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →More in Sports →

Related markets

Execution

YES

No live book

NO

No live book