BinaryStreaks

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

Updated 3 min ago

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Model estimate

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no model estimate.

Edge / gap

The difference between the model estimate and market-implied, in percentage points (model minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only-not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to the model estimate when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Confidence

A simple UI clarity label for signals (not a prediction). It summarizes the signal’s own magnitude/quality metrics into one of: Low, Mid-low, Mid, Mid-high, or High.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card-often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Sports · market-implied 0.1%

PolymarketVolume ~501,311.856← All markets

Recent price

0.1%

This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Rounds 1-2, initially scheduled for April 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against Dplus KIA. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Active signals

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket

Trend Continuation

Confidence Mid-high
Opportunity: YES sideModel leaning YES

Edge

+1.9 pts

Early edge

Market-implied

0.1%

Model estimate

2.0%

YES

0.1%

NO

100.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -64.5 pts · Δ24h -64.5 pts (same direction)

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket

Low Liquidity Warning

Confidence Low

YES

0.1%

NO

100.0%

Market-implied probability split (public data)

Why this is flagged: Spread 0.310 · wide

Market summary

This market is currently priced at 0.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 2.0%, indicating a possible +1.9 percentage point difference.

Why this is flagged: Δ6h -64.5 pts · Δ24h -64.5 pts (same direction)

What this means

  • This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
  • Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
  • BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.

Related links

Browse all markets →Browse signals →Explore related topic →More in Sports →

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Execution

YES

No live book

NO

No live book