Crypto · market-implied 0.1%
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
+8.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
0.1%
Model estimate
8.6%
YES
0.1%
NO
100.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -10.1 pts · Δ24h -10.1 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
0.1%
NO
100.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.002 vs 0.003 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 0.1%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 8.6%, indicating a possible +8.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -10.1 pts · Δ24h -10.1 pts (same direction)
YES
No live book
NO
No live book