Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
World · market-implied 38.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence MidEdge
+11.5 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
38.5%
Model estimate
50.0%
YES
38.5%
NO
61.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +34.0 pts · Δ24h +33.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
38.5%
NO
61.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 vs 0.040 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 38.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 50.0%, indicating a possible +11.5 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +34.0 pts · Δ24h +33.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
- Larger gaps can persist when the market is thin, has wide spreads, or is slow to update.
Related markets
Execution
YES
NO