Soccer · market-implied 51.5%
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 2, 2026 If Brentford FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Overreaction
Confidence Mid-highEdge
-1.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
51.5%
Model estimate
49.5%
YES
51.5%
NO
48.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +2.0 pts · 4.0× typical volatility
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-4.5 pts
Moderate edge
Market-implied
51.5%
Model estimate
53.0%
YES
51.5%
NO
48.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -3.5 pts · Δ24h -3.5 pts (same direction)
This market is currently priced at 51.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 50.5%, indicating a possible -1.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move +2.0 pts · 4.0× typical volatility
YES
NO