BinaryStreaks

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

How to read the numbers

Implied / market-implied YES

The probability of YES implied by current traded prices (mid or last). It is what participants are paying for, not a claim about real-world odds.

Estimated fair value (EFV)

A rule-based heuristic from the signal engine when a rule sets one, not a black-box forecast. Some signals only describe liquidity or spreads and may show no EFV.

Edge / gap

The difference between EFV and market-implied, in percentage points (EFV minus market for YES). Filters may use “largest gap.” This is informational only—not trading advice or guaranteed advantage.

Stance (above / below / near estimate)

Compares market-implied to EFV when both exist. Labels are not buy or sell recommendations.

Severity

How strong the rule hit is on a 1–5 scale. It reflects rule strength, not statistical confidence that the outcome will occur.

Volume

Reported trading activity for the market, for context on size and liquidity.

Change & sparklines

Movement in market-implied YES over the window labeled on the card—often 24h where data allows.

Signals

Rule-based flags from ingested public data. They are not trade recommendations.

More detail in Methodology.

Market-implied 49.5%

Near estimateVolume ~561,644.447← All markets

Recent price

49.5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of EdgeX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If EdgeX doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Active signals

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?Near estimate

Momentum

Market-implied

49.5%

Est. fair value

49.5%

Edge 0.0 pts (EFV − market)

Severity3 / 5

Why this is flagged: 6h and 24h moves point the same direction; magnitude 6.0 pts / 14.5 pts—trend is consistent over these windows (not a prediction).

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?—

Order book

Market-implied

49.5%

Est. fair value

—

No EFV for this rule — liquidity / spread only.

Severity2 / 5

Why this is flagged: Top-of-book liquidity is thinner than usual at a 0.030 bid–ask spread—min side is well under recent median depth. Prices may be noisier.