Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
Soccer · market-implied 61.5%
Recent price
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
61.5%
Model estimate
-
YES
61.5%
NO
38.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +8.5 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
61.5%
NO
38.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.080 vs 0.095 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 61.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 61.5%, indicating a possible 0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +8.5 pts · Δ24h +4.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO