Sports · market-implied 22.5%
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
-0.0 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
22.5%
Model estimate
77.5%
YES
22.5%
NO
77.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move -2.0 pts · 3.5× typical volatility
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
22.5%
NO
77.5%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.010 · thin top-book
This market is currently priced at 22.5%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 22.5%, indicating a possible -0.0 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: 1h move -2.0 pts · 3.5× typical volatility
YES
NO