Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?
Crypto · market-implied 4.8%
Recent price
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence LowEdge
-0.3 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
4.8%
Model estimate
95.5%
YES
4.8%
NO
95.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -7.5 pts · Δ24h -7.5 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
4.8%
NO
95.3%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.020 vs 0.025 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 4.8%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 4.5%, indicating a possible -0.3 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h -7.5 pts · Δ24h -7.5 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Execution
YES
NO