Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
World · market-implied 98.2%
Recent price
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Active signals
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
-0.2 pts
Early edge
Market-implied
98.2%
Model estimate
2.0%
YES
98.2%
NO
1.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +18.0 pts · Δ24h +18.0 pts (same direction)
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence MidYES
98.2%
NO
1.8%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.020 · thin top-book
Market summary
This market is currently priced at 98.2%, while BinaryStreaks estimates fair value at 98.0%, indicating a possible -0.2 percentage point difference.
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +18.0 pts · Δ24h +18.0 pts (same direction)
What this means
- This may indicate the market is repricing new information, or reacting to liquidity and order flow.
- Signals are informational only and not trading advice.
- BinaryStreaks uses public market data and deterministic, rule-based analysis.
Related links
Related markets
Execution
YES
NO