Sports · market-implied 84.0%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point during calendar year 2026, any of the following occurs: 1. LIV Golf publicly announces that its league operations have permanently ended, ceased, or been discontinued; or 2. LIV Golf publicly announces that it will permanently stop holding league events and that the league will not continue in its current form or any successor competitive form under the LIV Golf name; or 3. LIV Golf cancels or abandons the remainder of its 2026 season and publicly confirms that no further LIV Golf league events will be held and that league operations will not resume; or 4. LIV Golf is dissolved, liquidated, or merged, absorbed, or restructured into another organization in a manner that results in LIV Golf no longer existing as an operating standalone professional golf league and no longer holding its own branded competitions Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying public announcement during 2026 that LIV Golf will permanently cease league operations will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the announced cessation goes into effect. Temporary suspensions, pauses, schedule reductions, event postponements, format changes, restructurings, ownership changes, or mergers/acquisitions in which LIV Golf continues operating as a subsidiary, division, or continuing branded league will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV Golf; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Low Liquidity Warning
Confidence Mid-highYES
84.0%
NO
16.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.324 vs 0.016 · wide
Trend Continuation
Confidence Mid-lowEdge
0.0 pts
Market-implied
84.0%
Model estimate
-
YES
84.0%
NO
16.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: Δ6h +5.4 pts · Δ24h +17.6 pts (same direction)
Market Overreaction
Confidence MidEdge
-52.4 pts
Strong edge
Market-implied
84.0%
Model estimate
68.5%
YES
84.0%
NO
16.0%
Market-implied probability split (public data)
Why this is flagged: 1h move +3.0 pts · 3.5× typical volatility
This page summarizes current market-implied probability and any active rule-based signals from ingested public data.
Why this is flagged: Spread 0.324 vs 0.016 · wide
YES
NO